Fundamental Trends
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From My View...

Welcome. The content below is free to the public. It might be worth what you are paying for it. Having studied economics and being in finance for over two decades, I have learned that only one thing is certain - that almost nothing is certain. As we endeavor to come up with our best analysis of the world around us, the opportunities and risks, we have to try to overcome a myriad of issues including our own ignorance, biases and emotions. What follows are my attempts to overcome those obstacles. Welcome to my view - publishing Monday and Friday afternoons. 

From my keyboard...

"I believe that the problems at Bear Stearns are the tip of the iceberg regarding problems that are likely to emerge in the financial sector."
"2012 marks the year that the United States accelerates its transformation from a military super power... to a natural resources super power..."
"I believe there is a high probability that we do move to the low end of the oil-price range later this year...(with) out of the ordinary price plunges..."
"Look for increasing volatility, but no collapse, in 2015...With the Fed also talking about raising interest rates — I believe not until the 4th quarter..."
The impending end of the oil age doesn't mean there can't be a bull market... oil is about to embark on a wild rise that takes many stocks with it."
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Views
A concise take on today's markets. Cut through the noise and understand the most important information to manage risk and find opportunity.
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Models
Asset Allocation for growth investors and retired investors. Mutual Funds, Stocks, ETFs & Option enhanced models. Including the "Quarter Million Dollar" portfolio.
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Research
Reports on important financial topics and investment thesis. Unique takes on some of the most misunderstood economic and investment ideas out there.
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Trades
Investment recommendations in real time, including investment thesis brief, trade ranges and risk management approaches.
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