A sampling of some of the analysis I've made that has come to pass is or happening now...
Welcome. The content below is free to the public. It might be worth what you are paying for it. Having studied economics and being in finance for over two decades, I have learned that only one thing is certain - that almost nothing is certain. As we endeavor to come up with our best analysis of the world around us, the opportunities and risks, we have to try to overcome a myriad of issues including our own ignorance, biases and emotions. What follows are my attempts to overcome those obstacles. Welcome to my view - publishing Monday and Friday afternoons.
Happy New Year!!! Yep, I know I'm late, but boy oh boy does the world seem interesting! Let's start...
Remember when I wrote this?
A lot of people called me a stupid, ignorant, war mongering joke of an analyst. Pretty much every way I could be wrong, I was wrong. Well...
The New Year is here, so it is time to look back at the past year. For us, 2017 was great! How will 2018 shape up? I have a plan for that.
If you have been reading my little letters on holidays then you know I like to put a positive spin on things, even of a serious nature. Today is no different.
First off, let me wish you all a very Merry Christmas and whatever Happy Holiday that you might otherwise celebrate. Frankly, I have come to respect the Festivus made up holiday for its airing of grievances. With that in mind, let me air some.
In an age where valuations are high, we are carrying some cash, flash crashes are not terribly uncommon and the next flash crash could be a doozy, I thought it made sense to talk about QQQ again.
The PowerShares QQQ ETF (QQQ) is the vehicle I use to build a core asset allocation to a group of market leaders and also what I use for a quick buy if the market tanks while I'm not looking.
QQQ is my GTC limit buy order. It is the fund that I said is The Only ETF You Need To Start Investing.
The concept of dividend growth investing is a strong and good one for investors. However, the idea of dividends often becomes an emotional one for investors who then ignore declining fundamentals in stocks and rising market risks. The end result is that people who cannot afford to take large losses often suffer life changing financial pain at a time it is hard to overcome to having no earned income.
In today's piece I point out several risk factors that retired investors should be concerned with, as well as three stocks with fundamentals that might leave those shares as higher risk than many expect. I'm not fear mongering here, I'm simply suggesting that many people would be well served reevaluating the risk in their portfolios.
Please read the rest at: https://seekingalpha.com/article/4113894-oils-technical-path-80-per-barrel
If you didn't see the dramatic escape of a North Korean soldier over the demilitarized zone a few days ago, you need to watch it now, it's monumentally powerful. If you have seen it, watch it again:
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