Kirk Spano's Fundamental Trends
"The Only Thing That Is Constant Is Change." Manage Risk and Seize Opportunity in an Era of Change.
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From my keyboard...

A sampling of some of the analysis I've made that has come to pass is or happening now...

"The volatility we saw in 2007 is not likely to subside in the short run... I believe that the problems at Bear Stearns are the tip of the iceberg regarding problems that are likely to emerge in the financial sector."
January 2008 Letter to Clients
"2012 marks the year that the United States accelerates its transformation from a military super power... to a natural resources super power which is able to support peace without as much use of its armed forces."
MarketWatch December 2011
"I believe there is a high probability that we do move to the low end of the oil-price range later this year...That's not to say there can't be out of the ordinary price plunges..."
MarketWatch June 2014
"Oil just entered a new bull market phase by rising 20% in price since I started imploring people to buy oil stocks a few months ago... make no mistake about it, oil is going to rise dramatically in the next few years... until electric vehicles take hold."
Seeking Alpha October 2017
"...investors have two opportunities for asymmetric gains emerging. The first is to position trade... oil investments made now. The second opportunity is to find companies that will thrive in an EV, solar and smart grid future..."
Seeking Alpha December 2017

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From My View...

Welcome. The content below is free to the public. It might be worth what you are paying for it. Having studied economics and being in finance for over two decades, I have learned that only one thing is certain - that almost nothing is certain. As we endeavor to come up with our best analysis of the world around us, the opportunities and risks, we have to try to overcome a myriad of issues including our own ignorance, biases and emotions. What follows are my attempts to overcome those obstacles. Welcome to my view - publishing Monday and Friday afternoons.

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Category: View

For the past couple years, the stock market has seemed to defy gravity. And, since President Trump was elected, it has outright defied logic too. There really is no political or policy reason that stocks should have rallied so much since November. However, the stock market doesn't care and rally it has.

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Back in 2012 on MarketWatch I said I thought the next bubble would be in talking about bubbles. I've been proven to be pretty right. I still find all sorts of bubble talk online, in the press and even among some publicity seeking analysts and money managers. They've been wrong for about 8 years now and they might be wrong a lot longer. 

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  • Oil and gas services stocks are very correlated to changes in oil and gas prices.
  • There are 3 popular oil & gas services ETFs that are down over 27% from recent highs and 45% from all-time highs. A reversion to mean is likely.
  • The thinned out ranks of oil & gas services & equipment companies in the U.S. have remade the ETF indexes to be very attractive, one in particular.
  • One ETF has a higher potential if oil and gas prices rise, but it comes with added risk.
  • The other two ETFs are fine investments for those who want a little less risk.
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This Memorial Day weekend let's make sure we take time to remember all of the important things in life. First, let's make sure to remember all those who lost their lives defending this great nation. Without the brave members of our armed forces, their committment, their resolute patriotism and their willingness to sacrifice, America and the world would be far worse off. The U.S. military is clearly one of the great guarantors of freedom. America's military, flawed as all things human are, has indisputably been a catalyst to over a billion people beginning to live in democracies and get out of poverty in recent decades. We should never forget the good that facing evil has brought to our volatile, but improving world. 

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Category: Reports

The media and financial industry talk about "asset allocation" all the time. They focus on defining it in a way that gives it precious little meaning. What's worse, is they offer virtually no guidance in how to build or maintain your asset allocation. 

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Exact Sciences (EXAS) is under attack again by shorts. The arguments this time are similar to the arguments made in the past and just as likely to be wrong. That doesn’t mean, however, that investors and Exact Sciences itself can’t learn something from the rehashed criticisms.

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Category: Stocks

Our "Very Short List" is composed of 40 to 50 extensively researched companies that are poised to double, triple or more in price the next few years. The Very Short List list includes the more conservative Fundamental Leaders group of strongly profitable companies trading at value prices often paying a dividend and the Emerging Leaders which have catalysts that could lead to explosive growth. 

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To read more, a subscription is needed: Click here to subscribe Very Short List - April Stock Buy Limit Ranges

  1. Oil's Missing Risk Premium is About to Come Back
  2. Investing During the Trump Presidency
  3. 3 Reasons Oil is Headed Back to $100
  4. Oil Majors Not the Place for Rising Oil
  5. China and U.S. Relationship in the Balance
  6. Monthly Investor Call: 2017 The Return of Volatility
  7. 2017 Will be a "Reset" Year for Markets
  8. Investing in the "Slow Growth Forever" Global Economy
  9. Understanding the "Slow Growth Forever" Global Economy
  10. Trump Presidency Could Cause a Great Depression
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Investing & Trading A Deliberate Approach
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My "Very Short List" Top Stocks for the Future
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ETF Asset Allocation Tactical Investing
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Special Reports Analysis & Outlooks
Understanding and investing in the "Slow Growth Forever" global economy and other mega-trends.

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