The Petrodollar and dollar obituaries have been written for two decades now. And every time wrong. Both the dollar and Petrodollar will survive, one long-term, the other long enough. Get a free library card to read this important economic piece.
Fundamental Trends Blog
Welcome to the Fundamental Trends blog. Here I cover macro themes with my Macro Dashes, you can access some of our previously embargoed investment research and I do a little house cleaning.
The content below is open to the public for free. It is my true hope that it helps you in some way.
3 REITs from our very own Dividend Sleuth. Companies that can pump out income and grow too. Lower risk, strong total return. Members of Dividend Collector, Retirement Income Options and RARE.
Today we expanded our discussion a bit to include different ideas of liquidity and market impact. Discussed several stocks, how I think of them, what the market is missing and why I’m buying. Briefly discussed the coming acceleration in the changes in the energy system. We will discuss SPACs and what to look for as an investor on Monday’s stock call. We will discuss the energy transition and investment opportunities with a new working paper next Friday. Free Library Card for access.
12 dividend stocks that are must owns on a correction. Each one has something that the market is missing. One is simply among the 10 best companies in the world and comes with government backing. 6 of the 12 are REITs across 4 industries in the REIT space. Sign-up for Dividend Collector or higher for access.
The stock market was down 2.5% on Wednesday and the breathy talking heads tried to put a narrative to it. It’s all garbage. There are only 3 macro things that matter and the rest is finding tomorrow’s value. 80% of investors are just emotional chasers, both up and down. Panic buy and panic sell. You can be better.
We bought Invesco around $15 and around $10. We are taking 30-100% profits today on overbought conditions and less appreciation potential. Invesco is a good company, but we do not see it having a high likelihood of a double or triple from here, which is what we look for over 2-5 year cycles. Dividend collectors may elect to keep a small stake given the large dividend.
My forecasts for 2021 and beyond for stocks, the dollar, bitcoin and more. Plus, exactly why to use our barbell investing strategy for the 2020s. Free access with your library card. Sign up today if you do not have one. Macro Monday, special reports, Monthly FTO (Fundamental Trends Outlook) and access to archives. Get your Free Library Card Today.
Summary Coronavirus vaccines have given the markets hope and propulsion in recent months and now we have our first major Covid-19 mutation. Congress came together on a minimalistic support bill, but it won’t be enough for 8 million Americans newly in poverty or the 34 million that were already in […]
“You never have played poker before, you say,” says the gambler. “Well, the best way to learn is to jump right in and give it a try,” he encourages. “Sit right down here at the table, you’re smart, you’ll figure it out.” Person who never played poker before sits down […]
Macro Monday brings a concise look at the most important economic items impacting the stock market. This week we discuss the inflation, deflation, Covid-19 vaccines and a Federal Reserve wildcard. Members and Free Library Card holders have full access.
Summary The stock market is in a 3rd standard deviation of being overvalued. Low interest rates are a justification for some of the historic overvaluation. Federal Reserve produced excess liquidity is not infinite, but it is sufficient to fuel the rally for now – any pullback in excess liquidity would […]
In the early morning Wednesday, President Trump invoked Supreme Court challenges. The stock market immediately tanked. The contested election scenario suddenly jumped back up.
The warning signs in the stock market are half yellow and half red. The only thing going for stocks is excess liquidity. That might be enough to prevent a big crash, but I don’t believe the Fed will allow a bigger bubble. This article open to all full members and Free Library Card holders. If you don’t have a free library card, sign up today.
During a correction, gold falls from the skies. It is on these rare occasions when every asset falls in price that you want to be ready to buy – a lot. I am expecting volatility at the least in coming months and a potential bear market. Maybe a bad bear market. Have a plan. This piece is available to members and holders of a Free Library Card. Sign up for your Free Library Card Today.
Gold will rise to at least $2400 soon, with $3400 very likely in a few years. In the perfect monetary storm, gold could rise as high as $5000 per ounce. Here is how we are playing it. Access to anyone with a paid membership or for a limited time with a Free Library Card.
The stock market is on this ice again. Risk off could happen fast and hard. I have made this piece available to “Free Library Card” members, as well as, paid members, as a service to investors.
Summary Q4 2020 is shaping up to look a lot like Q4 2018. The Fed spiked punch bowl is almost empty. You should be killing what’s left of your zombie stocks now. 2021 will be either a trickle down stagflationary depression or a growth from the middle recovery. The stock […]
Compass Diversified Holdings SWOT Report.
Sell almost everything. The stock market is topping and multiple factors are screaming to take profits and become more defensive on stocks. The rest of 2020 could be a lot like 2018.
The economy is in a borderline depression, but the money printer goes brrr, so Robinhood buys everything in sight. Maybe it’s different this time, and speculation completely unsupported by the facts or valuations, will turn out just fine.