Fundamental Trends Blog

Welcome to the Fundamental Trends blog. Here I cover macro themes with my Macro Dashes, you can access some of our previously embargoed investment research and I do a little house cleaning.

The content below is open to the public for free. It is my true hope that it helps you in some way. 

Fundamental Trends Blog

3 Stock Market Scenarios Short To Intermediate Term

Today we game out the potential scenarios for the stock market in the short, intermediate and long-term. While the rally might continue a bit longer, there is a certainty of at least a retracing of the rally for a small correction. There are also worse outcomes if the economy does not have the “V” shape recovery that many are hoping for. This is piece is open to members and those with a “Free Library Card.”

Fundamental Trends Blog

Gold And Gold Stocks, Or, Gold Or Gold Stocks?

Here we have a quick take on whether to own a physical gold ETF, gold stocks or both. Given the amount of money printing going on and more coming soon, gold is likely to have a resurgent bull market that has been a long time coming. We see gains of 200-400% in the next 5-10 years. You will need a Global Trends ETF membership or higher to see this piece.

Fundamental Trends Blog

Relax, Analyze, React

Stop looking at the world as if it changes every day, things more slower than that. — We will find a bottom when the markets decide we have found a bottom, watch the technical indicators. — When we see signs of stability in the market coming off oversold on the daily, weekly and monthly, then it will be time to get back in. —
People are asking me: “Kirk, do I think we still the stock market with another leg down?” My answer is yes. Could I be wrong? Sure, absolutely.

Fundamental Trends Blog

Coronavirus Recession And Market Crash Are Major, But Can Be Overcome In Time

The coronavirus COVID-19 recession and crash will not be short or shallow. We should expect more economic damage. The stock market is still overvalued and likely to fall further. Use this correction as a chance to position your asset allocation into the “smart everything” and alternative energy world that is developing. It is there that enough growth exists to generate gains. Our research shows that over 100 companies in the S&P 500 are at serious risk of becoming zombies or going bankrupt.

Fundamental Trends Blog

Another Special Webinar Tonight & Last Night’s Webinar Link

Tonight’s webinar preparing us to when and how to buy ETFs for our asset allocation requires a paid membership. I have put a “half price” discount code with all services at the sign-up pages. Please try us on for size at half price. By this point, you probably see the value. We got out early near the highs and we will get back near the lows by scaling into attractive sectors of the economy.

Fundamental Trends Blog

Oil Hedges Won’t Be Enough

Oil and oil stocks are crashing as Russia and Saudi Arabia squabble. Russia’s motivation is clearly retaliation against U.S. shale over recent sanctions on Russia. Investors should not expect a quick or deep recovery for most oil stocks. Oil on the other hand holds some promise. Access with membership or a Free Library Card.

Fundamental Trends Blog

#Crash2020 Webinar Monday Night

I have been predicting #Crash2020 since summer 2018. How did I know? Recently, I said expect a “limit down” day from the opening bell soon. How did I know? Watch my Investing 2020s webinars on YouTube to find out for free. Tonight’s special webinar is your chance to catch up. Also, a special 50% discount offer for all viewers. If nothing else, sign up for a free library card.